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Money Rumor Mill
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Written by Rocky White, Senior Quantitative Analyst,Schaeffer's Research
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Sunday, 27 November 2011 20:04 |
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Foreword: Last Friday, the day after Thanksgiving, was Black Friday -- the unofficial beginning of the holiday shopping season. This coming week, we can look forward to various articles and reports about how strong sales were, or how long the lines were at different stores. Those stats will surely come with commentary about what this activity is supposedly telling us about the condition of the economy, or the strength of the U.S. consumer. This week, I looked back over the past 20 years to see whether the market's reaction to Black Friday is any indication about what we can expect going forward. I also checked out the retail sector, in particular, to determine whether there are any individual stocks to keep an eye on throughout this holiday season. |
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Market Analysis & Insights
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Written by Chris Vermeulen
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Sunday, 27 November 2011 19:57 |
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Thus far in 2011 the overall stock market movement has been much different from what we had in 2010. This year we have seen nothing but sideways to lower prices with wild price swings on a day to day basis. There just has not been any really solid trends to take advantage of this year. Instead we had to actively trade the oversold dips and sell into the overbought rallies to just pull money out of the market on a monthly basis. Last year we saw 3 major rallies that lasted several months making it easy for anyone who bought into the trend to make money if managed properly. |
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Money Rumor Mill
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Written by Marc Courtenay
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Sunday, 20 November 2011 22:06 |
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 Thanksgiving in the U.S. is this coming Thursday and we can expect some pretty low volumes. But what kind of returns are typical during the four-day trading week? Let's take a look to find out how the market has performed during past Thanksgiving weeks.We are very grateful to the outstanding information shared with us from Schaeffer's Research . |
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Market Analysis & Insights
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Written by Marc Courtenay
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Sunday, 20 November 2011 11:43 |
This last week has been like watching a car crash into a wall in slow motion. Like the photo above, will stocks penetrate the wall of support or will it crash through and fall down the embankment of financial devastation. We are about to find out. As our technical mentor John Murphy wrote on Nov. 18th: |
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Money Rumor Mill
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Written by Jeff Clark, Casey Research
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Saturday, 19 November 2011 21:34 |
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I've told more than one concerned investor that when the gold price falls, they should "come back in three months" and see if they're still worried. The idea is that the daily and monthly gyrations are nothing to fret over, that the price will recover and, in time, fetch new highs. That advice has worked every time gold underwent any significant correction (except in late 2008, when one had to take a longer view than three months). Here's proof. |
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Market Analysis & Insights
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Written by Willem Weytjens
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Saturday, 19 November 2011 21:06 |
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I was recently looking at some long term charts, I found out that the current situation for the SP500 is very similar to the situation in 2008. Check out the following chart below, and you will see why…
- The RSI isn't overbought and hasn't been for a long time, indicating weakness in the stock markets… The same was true in 2008. |
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Money Rumor Mill
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Written by Marc Courtenay
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Thursday, 17 November 2011 17:50 |
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While the stock market was retreating and biting its nails over the nasty results of Spanish bond sales, fertilizer maker Mosaic Co. (MOS) announced it will pay about $1.2 billion to buy back 21.3 million shares of stock from the Margaret A. Cargill Trusts. Mosaic said Thursday it will pay $54.58 per share for the stock, which was the closing price Wednesday.Today the price of the shares dropped a horrific 7% on heavy volume, as if buying back shares of your own company is a bad thing. |
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Last Updated on Thursday, 17 November 2011 17:54 |
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Market Analysis & Insights
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Written by Marc Courtenay
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Wednesday, 16 November 2011 21:24 |
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If you've been putting off a much needed vacation or a rejuvenating retreat, maybe you should be making plans soon. That's because if you're a gold, silver or precious metals stock investor, you'll probably need to "recharge your batteries" and "regroup" before this sector of the market get's away from you and ignites "on fire". While I'm on the topic of a rejuvenating retreat, I recommend you listen to the following video message that speaks about personal breakthroughs and the importance of getting a "fresh perspective". Wouldn't it be "golden" to experience a place like this.
That's why I whole-heartedly know from personal experience why this message is for everyone, so click on and listen at: http://rejuvacation.blogspot.com/ |
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Money Rumor Mill
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Written by Marin Katusa, Casey Energy Opportunities
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Wednesday, 16 November 2011 13:24 |
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Let's begin by positioning the sector. Investing in a pipeline company is similar to investing in a utility: Like electricity providers, pipeline companies operate in heavily regulated environments, and once they are up and running, pipeline operators enjoy stable cash flows from long-term contracts. In an economy where uncertainty is the new norm and speculation is a more dangerous game than usual, investors are gravitating toward income-generating investments. |
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Money Rumor Mill
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Written by Casey Research
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Thursday, 10 November 2011 18:44 |
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GoldMoney founder James Turk interviews When Money Dies author Adam Fergusson, who discusses the parallels and differences between the Weimar inflation and the situation in the US and Europe today. "I don't see how any of these [Western] economies can grow their way out of the extraordinary debts that they have." |
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Market Analysis & Insights
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Written by Alena Mikhan and Andrey Dashkov, Casey Research
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Thursday, 10 November 2011 18:36 |
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Despite the pullback this fall, gold has been performing well this year. The price of the yellow metal is up 28% YTD, driven in large measure by strong demand in Asia and the dim economic outlook in the west. Gold miners are reporting good third-quarter bottom lines. In this ointment, however, there is a fly: gold stock performance, which has massively lagged the underlying commodity price surge over the year. This has been ongoing for months, now bringing us to the point where gold mining stocks look notably undervalued. |
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Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke announced this week that the Federal funds rate will stay near zero for now. He reasoned that the “low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run” would likely “warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through mid-2013.”